Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 521.077260 554.071312 588.353632 626.694033 668.448678 712.622809 762.994085
2026-01-18 475.882698 521.044578 569.849592 626.723528 691.447024 763.125252 848.944224
2026-01-25 448.776100 501.877599 560.930909 631.882742 715.360171 811.129610 930.291070
2026-02-01 428.693863 487.709933 554.892523 637.677441 737.836248 856.254702 1008.601988
2026-02-08 412.992810 476.820235 550.962221 644.364186 760.198477 900.901273 1087.516994
2026-02-15 396.814192 463.963131 543.332274 645.261086 774.452189 935.202822 1154.359058
2026-02-22 382.485709 452.285502 536.086516 645.598550 787.193242 967.344565 1219.369199
2026-03-01 371.102928 443.450708 531.585558 648.664516 802.932341 1003.445037 1291.071702
2026-03-08 358.956034 432.955458 524.282848 647.405538 812.444582 1031.197269 1352.363610
2026-03-15 348.777220 424.398224 518.884046 648.069619 824.116045 1061.931870 1419.135505
2026-03-22 339.015409 415.890114 513.046157 647.638668 833.921225 1090.139099 1483.487179
2026-03-29 330.098443 408.063926 507.667062 647.381814 843.645468 1118.323803 1549.093289
2026-04-05 323.186418 402.600482 505.161392 650.853832 858.635526 1154.675757 1629.336699
2026-04-12 315.427868 395.692133 500.382978 650.835757 868.429076 1183.652582 1699.713068
2026-04-19 310.184722 391.917120 499.615464 656.259770 886.134536 1225.024777 1792.236986
2026-04-26 305.512670 388.706733 499.422414 662.355543 904.912699 1268.755158 1891.378927
2026-05-03 301.444237 386.140998 499.954395 669.391046 925.238876 1315.722035 1999.051084
2026-05-10 295.568019 380.868267 496.471725 670.334821 936.197853 1348.300417 2084.186065
2026-05-17 289.819113 375.575836 492.744568 670.689929 946.122537 1379.525842 2168.928431
2026-05-24 285.279455 371.819814 491.039631 673.916337 960.542861 1418.639825 2270.483967
2026-05-31 279.558471 366.216324 486.474843 672.591444 967.578607 1445.702666 2351.702009
2026-06-07 274.722305 361.722921 483.351458 673.290288 977.785192 1478.471191 2445.895441
2026-06-14 269.769409 356.916301 479.602345 672.836776 986.001350 1508.107641 2536.156886